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Future Stars vs Sefwi All Stars — Division One League 2025

Future Stars
Future Stars
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Sefwi All Stars
Sefwi All Stars
2/1/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 18

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Future Stars60%
×Draw25%
Sefwi All Stars15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Future Stars
1.60
Sefwi All Stars
0.67

Future Stars creates 139% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Future Stars
1.67
Sefwi All Stars
0.40

allows per match

Future Stars
0.93
Sefwi All Stars
1.53

finishing

Future Stars+0.00on par
Sefwi All Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Future Stars ↓

Sefwi All Stars →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–17%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Future Stars or draw
85%
Future Stars or Sefwi All Stars
75%
Draw or Sefwi All Stars
40%

Winning margin

Future Stars wins by 2+
33%
Sefwi All Stars wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Future Stars 1+ goals
80%
Future Stars 2+ goals
47%
Future Stars 3+ goals
22%
Sefwi All Stars 1+ goals
49%
Sefwi All Stars 2+ goals
15%
Sefwi All Stars 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Future Stars (draw refunded)
79%
Sefwi All Stars (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Future Stars at home — creates 1.67, concedes 0.93 · 15 matches

Sefwi All Stars away — creates 0.40, concedes 1.53 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Future Stars attack 1.67 + Sefwi All Stars defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.60

Sefwi All Stars attack 0.40 + Future Stars defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 0.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Future Stars scores more
60%
level
25%
Sefwi All Stars scores more
15%

Future Stars at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Future Stars will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Future Stars 2–0 Sefwi All Stars

Future Stars beat Sefwi All Stars 2-0 in Division One League on February 1, 2026.