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Future Stars vs Nsuopun Fidelity — Division One League 2025

Future Stars
Future Stars
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Nsuopun Fidelity
Nsuopun Fidelity
4/5/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 25

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Future Stars48%
×Draw28%
Nsuopun Fidelity23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Future Stars
1.33
Nsuopun Fidelity
0.83

Future Stars creates 60% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Future Stars
1.67
Nsuopun Fidelity
0.73

allows per match

Future Stars
0.93
Nsuopun Fidelity
1.00

finishing

Future Stars+0.00on par
Nsuopun Fidelity+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Future Stars ↓

Nsuopun Fidelity →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Future Stars or draw
77%
Future Stars or Nsuopun Fidelity
72%
Draw or Nsuopun Fidelity
52%

Winning margin

Future Stars wins by 2+
23%
Nsuopun Fidelity wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Future Stars 1+ goals
74%
Future Stars 2+ goals
38%
Future Stars 3+ goals
15%
Nsuopun Fidelity 1+ goals
56%
Nsuopun Fidelity 2+ goals
20%
Nsuopun Fidelity 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Future Stars (draw refunded)
67%
Nsuopun Fidelity (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Future Stars at home — creates 1.67, concedes 0.93 · 15 matches

Nsuopun Fidelity away — creates 0.73, concedes 1.00 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Future Stars attack 1.67 + Nsuopun Fidelity defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.33

Nsuopun Fidelity attack 0.73 + Future Stars defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Future Stars scores more
48%
level
28%
Nsuopun Fidelity scores more
23%

Future Stars at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Future Stars will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Future Stars 1 – 1 Nsuopun Fidelity

Future Stars and Nsuopun Fidelity drew 1-1 in Division One League on April 5, 2026.