Scoreo

Future FC vs Wadi DeglaPremier League 2018

Future FC
Future FC
FT
00
HT: 00
Wadi Degla
Wadi Degla
4/4/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Relegation Group - 2Cairo International Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Future FC34%
×Draw34%
Wadi Degla32%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Future FC
0.88
Wadi Degla
0.83

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 7 home / 8 away

creates per match

Future FC
0.78
Wadi Degla
0.94

allows per match

Future FC
0.72
Wadi Degla
0.97

finishing

Future FC-0.49scores less
Wadi Degla-0.06on par

Total goals

75%Under
  • Under75
  • Over25

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

67%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Future FC

Wadi Degla
0
1
2
3
4
0
0018%
0115%
026%
032%
040%
1
1016%
1113%
125%
132%
140%
2
207%
216%
222%
231%
240%
3
302%
312%
321%
330%
340%
4
400%
410%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 0–0 (18%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
82%18%1.5
51%49%2.5
25%75%3.5
9%91%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Future FC or draw
68%
Future FC or Wadi Degla
66%
Draw or Wadi Degla
66%

Winning margin

Future FC wins by 2+
12%
Wadi Degla wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Future FC 1+ goals
59%
Future FC 2+ goals
22%
Future FC 3+ goals
6%
Wadi Degla 1+ goals
56%
Wadi Degla 2+ goals
20%
Wadi Degla 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Future FC (draw refunded)
52%
Wadi Degla (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
20%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Future FC at homecreates 0.78, concedes 0.72 · 7 matches

Wadi Degla awaycreates 0.94, concedes 0.97 · 8 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Future FC attack 0.78 + Wadi Degla defence 0.97 → ÷2 → 0.88

Wadi Degla attack 0.94 + Future FC defence 0.72 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 34%?"

Future FC scores more
34%
level
34%
Wadi Degla scores more
32%

Future FC at 34% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 34% does not mean "Future FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

77
A. FawziFuture FCFuture FC · D
7.5

Possession

40%Future

Shots

9Future

Pass accuracy

47%Future

Statistics

FutureWadi
Overview
40%Possession60%
9Total Shots15
0.52Expected Goals (xG)0.73
6Corners8
7Fouls19
Shots
9Total Shots15
2On Target5
4Off Target8
3Blocked2
4Inside Box10
5Outside Box5
Passing
40%Possession60%
285Total Passes428
211Accurate Passes349
74%Pass Accuracy82%
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
0.19Goals Prevented0.19
Discipline
7Fouls19
1Yellow Cards3
4Offsides2

Future FC 0 – 0 Wadi Degla

Future FC and Wadi Degla drew 0-0 in Premier League on April 4, 2026.

Wadi Degla controlled possession (60%) and registered 15 shots to 9.

The match was played at Cairo International Stadium in Cairo.