Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Alta II — 3. Division - Girone 1 2021

Funnefoss / Vormsund
Funnefoss / Vormsund
FT
5 – 1
HT: 4 – 0
Alta II
Alta II
E. Benjaminsen 80'
A. Jebanathan 41'
H. H. Fosvold 25'
M. Soreide 10'
M. Rismoen 5'
J. A. Amundsen 67'
5/24/20253. Division - Girone 13. Division - Girone 1 · Group 1 - 7Funnefoss gress

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Funnefoss / Vormsund57%
×Draw18%
Alta II25%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Funnefoss / Vormsund
2.77
Alta II
1.83

Funnefoss / Vormsund creates 51% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 13 away

creates per match

Funnefoss / Vormsund
1.63
Alta II
1.46

allows per match

Funnefoss / Vormsund
2.21
Alta II
3.92

finishing

Funnefoss / Vormsund+0.00on par
Alta II+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

79%Yes
  • Yes79
  • No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Funnefoss / Vormsund ↓

Alta II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–15%
1–25%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
67%33%4.5
47%53%

Double chance

Funnefoss / Vormsund or draw
75%
Funnefoss / Vormsund or Alta II
82%
Draw or Alta II
43%

Winning margin

Funnefoss / Vormsund wins by 2+
37%
Alta II wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Funnefoss / Vormsund 1+ goals
94%
Funnefoss / Vormsund 2+ goals
76%
Funnefoss / Vormsund 3+ goals
51%
Alta II 1+ goals
84%
Alta II 2+ goals
54%
Alta II 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

Funnefoss / Vormsund (draw refunded)
69%
Alta II (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
73%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Funnefoss / Vormsund at home — creates 1.63, concedes 2.21 · 19 matches

Alta II away — creates 1.46, concedes 3.92 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Funnefoss / Vormsund attack 1.63 + Alta II defence 3.92 → ÷2 → 2.77

Alta II attack 1.46 + Funnefoss / Vormsund defence 2.21 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Funnefoss / Vormsund scores more
57%
level
18%
Alta II scores more
25%

Funnefoss / Vormsund at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Funnefoss / Vormsund will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'
M. Rismoen
10'
M. Soreide
25'
H. H. Fosvold
41'
A. Jebanathan
67'
J. A. Amundsen
80'
E. Benjaminsen

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Alta II

Funnefoss / Vormsund beat Alta II 5-1 in 3. Division - Girone 1 on May 24, 2025.

Goals: M. Rismoen (5'), M. Soreide (10'), H. H. Fosvold (25'), A. Jebanathan (41'), J. A. Amundsen (67'), E. Benjaminsen (80').

The match was played at Funnefoss gress in Oppaker.