Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 18+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
58%
Over
42%
Under
Both Score
60%
Yes
40%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
2-1
9%
1-0
8%
xG Profile (18 home / 20 away matches)
FSV Mainz 05
xG 1.64 · xGA 1.51
-0.36 vs xG
SC Freiburg
xG 1.15 · xGA 1.7
-0.1 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga 2026
- Date
- Mar 15, 2025, 2:30 PM
- Tournament
- Bundesliga · Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26
- Referee
- B. Brand
- Venue
- MEWA ARENA, Mainz
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
FSV Mainz 05
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51851%
- Under 2.51749%
Both teams scored
- Yes2160%
- No1440%
SC Freiburg
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53161%
- Under 2.52039%
Both teams scored
- Yes3059%
- No2141%
Player of the match
Match Events

SC Freiburg substitutes
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
FSV Mainz 05 host SC Freiburg on Saturday, 15 March 2025 at 14:30. The match is part of the Bundesliga 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg drew 2-2 in Bundesliga on March 15, 2025.
Goals: J. Burkardt (34'), M. Gregoritsch (58'), A. Hanche-Olsen (74'), L. Kübler (79').
SC Freiburg controlled possession (56%) and registered 24 shots to 9.
The match was played at MEWA ARENA in Mainz.
























