Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 17+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
55%
Over
45%
Under
Both Score
58%
Yes
42%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12%
2-1
9%
1-2
8%
xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)
FSV Mainz 05
xG 1.67 · xGA 1.41
-0.43 vs xG
Borussia Dortmund
xG 1.42 · xGA 1.27
+0.34 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga 2026
Bundesliga·2026📍Mewa Arena- Date
- Sep 27, 2025, 1:30 PM
- Tournament
- Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5
- Referee
- Tobias Reichel (Germany)
- Venue
- Mewa Arena, Mainz
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
FSV Mainz 05
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51851%
- Under 2.51749%
Both teams scored
- Yes2160%
- No1440%
Borussia Dortmund
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53262%
- Under 2.52038%
Both teams scored
- Yes2854%
- No2446%
Match Events
Borussia Dortmund substitutes
Head to Head
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
SC Paderborn 07If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
FSV Mainz 05 host Borussia Dortmund on Saturday, 27 September 2025 at 13:30. The match is part of the Bundesliga 2026/2027 season.
FSV Mainz 05 0 – 2 Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund beat FSV Mainz 05 2-0 in Bundesliga on September 27, 2025.
Goals: D. Svensson (27'), K. Adeyemi (40').
Borussia Dortmund controlled possession (51%) and registered 10 shots to 8.
The match was played at Mewa Arena in Mainz.