FSV Frankfurt U19 0–0 Viktoria Köln U19

FSV Frankfurt U19

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Viktoria Köln U19

3/1/2026

U19 Bundesliga · Round 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

FSV Frankfurt U1940%

×Draw23%

Viktoria Köln U1938%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FSV Frankfurt U19Expected goals in this matchViktoria Köln U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.75

1.71

FSV Frankfurt U19

1.75

Viktoria Köln U19

1.71

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 31 home / 67 away

1.52

creates per match

1.46

1.97

allows per match

1.99

creates per match

FSV Frankfurt U19

1.52

Viktoria Köln U19

1.46

allows per match

FSV Frankfurt U19

1.97

Viktoria Köln U19

1.99

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FSV Frankfurt U19+0.00on par

Viktoria Köln U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over67
Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes68
No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FSV Frankfurt U19 ↓

Viktoria Köln U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–28%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

67%33%3.5

45%55%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

FSV Frankfurt U19 or draw

62%

FSV Frankfurt U19 or Viktoria Köln U19

77%

Draw or Viktoria Köln U19

60%

Winning margin

FSV Frankfurt U19 wins by 2+

20%

Viktoria Köln U19 wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

FSV Frankfurt U19 1+ goals

83%

FSV Frankfurt U19 2+ goals

52%

FSV Frankfurt U19 3+ goals

25%

Viktoria Köln U19 1+ goals

82%

Viktoria Köln U19 2+ goals

51%

Viktoria Köln U19 3+ goals

24%

Draw no bet

FSV Frankfurt U19 (draw refunded)

51%

Viktoria Köln U19 (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

58%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FSV Frankfurt U19 at home — creates 1.52, concedes 1.97 · 31 matches

Viktoria Köln U19 away — creates 1.46, concedes 1.99 · 67 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FSV Frankfurt U19 attack 1.52 + Viktoria Köln U19 defence 1.99 → ÷2 → 1.75

Viktoria Köln U19 attack 1.46 + FSV Frankfurt U19 defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

FSV Frankfurt U19 scores more

40%

level

23%

Viktoria Köln U19 scores more

38%

FSV Frankfurt U19 at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "FSV Frankfurt U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

FSV

Viktoria

Manager: B. Yelken

Manager: P. Schiavo

U19 Bundesliga: FSV Frankfurt U19 0–0 Viktoria Köln U19

FSV Frankfurt U19 and Viktoria Köln U19 drew 0-0 in U19 Bundesliga on March 1, 2026.

FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Viktoria Köln U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: FSV Frankfurt U19 0–0 Viktoria Köln U19