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FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Darmstadt 98 U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

FSV Frankfurt U19
FSV Frankfurt U19
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Darmstadt 98 U19
Darmstadt 98 U19
4/19/2026U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 9

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

FSV Frankfurt U1941%
×Draw22%
Darmstadt 98 U1937%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FSV Frankfurt U19
1.89
Darmstadt 98 U19
1.77

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 31 home / 48 away

creates per match

FSV Frankfurt U19
1.52
Darmstadt 98 U19
1.56

allows per match

FSV Frankfurt U19
1.97
Darmstadt 98 U19
2.25

finishing

FSV Frankfurt U19+0.00on par
Darmstadt 98 U19+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FSV Frankfurt U19 ↓

Darmstadt 98 U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

FSV Frankfurt U19 or draw
63%
FSV Frankfurt U19 or Darmstadt 98 U19
78%
Draw or Darmstadt 98 U19
59%

Winning margin

FSV Frankfurt U19 wins by 2+
22%
Darmstadt 98 U19 wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

FSV Frankfurt U19 1+ goals
85%
FSV Frankfurt U19 2+ goals
56%
FSV Frankfurt U19 3+ goals
29%
Darmstadt 98 U19 1+ goals
83%
Darmstadt 98 U19 2+ goals
53%
Darmstadt 98 U19 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

FSV Frankfurt U19 (draw refunded)
53%
Darmstadt 98 U19 (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FSV Frankfurt U19 at home — creates 1.52, concedes 1.97 · 31 matches

Darmstadt 98 U19 away — creates 1.56, concedes 2.25 · 48 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FSV Frankfurt U19 attack 1.52 + Darmstadt 98 U19 defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 1.89

Darmstadt 98 U19 attack 1.56 + FSV Frankfurt U19 defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

FSV Frankfurt U19 scores more
41%
level
22%
Darmstadt 98 U19 scores more
37%

FSV Frankfurt U19 at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "FSV Frankfurt U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

FSV
Darmstadt
B. Yelken
Manager: B. Yelken
P. Kurt
Manager: P. Kurt

U19 Bundesliga: FSV Frankfurt U19 2–1 Darmstadt 98 U19

FSV Frankfurt U19 beat Darmstadt 98 U19 2-1 in U19 Bundesliga on April 19, 2026.