Frigg Oslo FK W 0–1 Åsane W: Result & Stats

Frigg Oslo FK W

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Åsane W

5/31/2026

1. Division Women · Round 8

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Frigg Oslo FK W17%

×Draw21%

Åsane W63%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Frigg Oslo FK WExpected goals in this matchÅsane W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.94

2.04

Frigg Oslo FK W

0.94

Åsane W

2.04

Åsane W creates 117% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 26 away

1.00

creates per match

1.27

2.80

allows per match

0.88

creates per match

Frigg Oslo FK W

1.00

Åsane W

1.27

allows per match

Frigg Oslo FK W

2.80

Åsane W

0.88

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Frigg Oslo FK W+0.00on par

Åsane W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over57
Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Frigg Oslo FK W ↓

Åsane W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–110%

0–211%

0–37%

0–44%

1

1–05%

1–110%

1–210%

1–37%

1–43%

2

2–02%

2–15%

2–25%

2–33%

2–42%

3

3–01%

3–11%

3–21%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

57%43%3.5

34%66%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

Frigg Oslo FK W or draw

37%

Frigg Oslo FK W or Åsane W

79%

Draw or Åsane W

83%

Winning margin

Frigg Oslo FK W wins by 2+

5%

Åsane W wins by 2+

39%

Team goals

Frigg Oslo FK W 1+ goals

61%

Frigg Oslo FK W 2+ goals

24%

Frigg Oslo FK W 3+ goals

7%

Åsane W 1+ goals

87%

Åsane W 2+ goals

60%

Åsane W 3+ goals

33%

Draw no bet

Frigg Oslo FK W (draw refunded)

21%

Åsane W (draw refunded)

79%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Frigg Oslo FK W at home — creates 1.00, concedes 2.80 · 5 matches

Åsane W away — creates 1.27, concedes 0.88 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Frigg Oslo FK W attack 1.00 + Åsane W defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 0.94

Åsane W attack 1.27 + Frigg Oslo FK W defence 2.80 → ÷2 → 2.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Frigg Oslo FK W scores more

17%

level

21%

Åsane W scores more

63%

Åsane W at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Åsane W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff