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Fremad Amager vs Vanløse — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Fremad Amager
Fremad Amager
CANC
13:00
Vanløse
Vanløse
3/3/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sundby Idrætspark

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Fremad Amager46%
×Draw28%
Vanløse26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fremad Amager
1.31
Vanløse
0.91

Fremad Amager creates 44% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 6 away

creates per match

Fremad Amager
1.45
Vanløse
1.00

allows per match

Fremad Amager
0.82
Vanløse
1.17

finishing

Fremad Amager+0.00on par
Vanløse+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fremad Amager ↓

Vanløse →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Fremad Amager or draw
74%
Fremad Amager or Vanløse
72%
Draw or Vanløse
54%

Winning margin

Fremad Amager wins by 2+
21%
Vanløse wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Fremad Amager 1+ goals
73%
Fremad Amager 2+ goals
38%
Fremad Amager 3+ goals
14%
Vanløse 1+ goals
60%
Vanløse 2+ goals
23%
Vanløse 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Fremad Amager (draw refunded)
64%
Vanløse (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fremad Amager at home — creates 1.45, concedes 0.82 · 11 matches

Vanløse away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fremad Amager attack 1.45 + Vanløse defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.31

Vanløse attack 1.00 + Fremad Amager defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Fremad Amager scores more
46%
level
28%
Vanløse scores more
26%

Fremad Amager at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Fremad Amager will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Fremad Amager vs Vanløse — Match Preview

Fremad Amager face Vanløse on March 3, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Fremad Amager host Vanløse at Sundby Idrætspark.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.