Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

France U19 W vs Norway U19 W — Friendlies Women 2026

France U19 W
France U19 W
FT
2 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Norway U19 W
Norway U19 W
M. Fathallah 31'
R. Rafalski 4'
M. Preus 28'
3/6/2026Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendly International Women

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

France U19 W68%
×Draw18%
Norway U19 W14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

France U19 W
2.38
Norway U19 W
1.00

France U19 W creates 138% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

France U19 W
3.00
Norway U19 W
1.00

allows per match

France U19 W
1.00
Norway U19 W
1.75

finishing

France U19 W+0.00on par
Norway U19 W+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

France U19 W ↓

Norway U19 W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–18%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

France U19 W or draw
86%
France U19 W or Norway U19 W
82%
Draw or Norway U19 W
32%

Winning margin

France U19 W wins by 2+
45%
Norway U19 W wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

France U19 W 1+ goals
91%
France U19 W 2+ goals
68%
France U19 W 3+ goals
42%
Norway U19 W 1+ goals
63%
Norway U19 W 2+ goals
26%
Norway U19 W 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

France U19 W (draw refunded)
82%
Norway U19 W (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

France U19 W at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Norway U19 W away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

France U19 W attack 3.00 + Norway U19 W defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 2.38

Norway U19 W attack 1.00 + France U19 W defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

France U19 W scores more
68%
level
18%
Norway U19 W scores more
14%

France U19 W at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "France U19 W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

4'
R. Rafalski
28'
M. Preus
31'
M. Fathallah

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: France U19 W vs Norway U19 W

France U19 W beat Norway U19 W 2-1 in Friendlies Women on March 6, 2026.

Goals: R. Rafalski (4'), M. Preus (28'), M. Fathallah (31').