Fram 3–3 Træff: Result & Stats

Fram

FT

3 – 3

HT: 1 – 2

Træff

M. Al Laham 64'

J. Fjeldskår 59', 30'

J. Kristengård 87', 33'

M. Woldsund 1'

8/20/2023

2. Division - Group 1 · Group 1 - 16Framparken

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Fram48%

×Draw23%

Træff28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FramExpected goals in this matchTræff

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.78

1.31

Fram

1.78

Træff

1.31

Fram creates 36% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 31 away

1.38

creates per match

1.16

1.46

allows per match

2.19

creates per match

Fram

1.38

Træff

1.16

allows per match

Fram

1.46

Træff

2.19

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Fram+0.00on par

Træff+0.00on par

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fram ↓

Træff →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

60%40%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Fram or draw

72%

Fram or Træff

77%

Draw or Træff

52%

Winning margin

Fram wins by 2+

26%

Træff wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Fram 1+ goals

83%

Fram 2+ goals

53%

Fram 3+ goals

26%

Træff 1+ goals

73%

Træff 2+ goals

38%

Træff 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Fram (draw refunded)

63%

Træff (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fram at home — creates 1.38, concedes 1.46 · 13 matches

Træff away — creates 1.16, concedes 2.19 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fram attack 1.38 + Træff defence 2.19 → ÷2 → 1.78

Træff attack 1.16 + Fram defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Fram scores more

48%

level

23%

Træff scores more

28%

Fram at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Fram will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

1'

23'

30'

33'

46'

J. Rydjord← P. Einarson

57'

M. Fahlgren Hällström← U. Pedersen

57'

M. Dubois← M. Jacobsen

59'

J. Fjeldskår

60'

K. Selmer← M. Woldsund

61'

J. Boe

64'

M. Al Laham

66'

E. Nordengen

67'

E. Hermansen← J. Halsne

67'

M. Lewis← D. Murugesapillai

74'

M. Rekdal

76'

R. Nguen← B. Johansen

76'

M. Anthonsen Wurschmidt← M. Rekdal

77'

H. Bøe← M. Olimb

77'

I. Tønnessen← M. Tornes

87'

J. Kristengård

90'

H. Boe

Fram

Træff

22

Beinset

28

▼

29

2

4

10

⚽2

Kristengå

7

▼

Olimb

3

Bellingmo

11

⚽

▼

Woldsund

13

▼

Tornes

21

▼

Halsne

1

Vieira

15

▼

Jacobsen

5

Ahmed

16

⚽2

Fjeldskår

22

▼

Pedersen

10

⚽

Laham

17

Bruusgaar

7

▼

Einarson

3

▼

Rekdal

23

Nordengen

25

▼

Johansen

Manager: H. Lunov

46'▲J. Rydjord←▼P. Einarson

57'▲M. Fahlgren Hällström←▼U. Pedersen

57'▲M. Dubois←▼M. Jacobsen

76'▲R. Nguen←▼B. Johansen

76'▲M. Anthonsen Wurschmidt←▼M. Rekdal

Fram substitutes

4Rydjord9Hällström20Dubois24Nguen30Wurschmidt13Helgeland19Nilsen27Mosquera12Kamecki

Manager: Ø. Høgmo

60'▲K. Selmer←▼M. Woldsund

67'▲E. Hermansen←▼J. Halsne

67'▲M. Lewis←▼D. Murugesapillai

77'▲H. Bøe←▼M. Olimb

77'▲I. Tønnessen←▼M. Tornes

Træff substitutes

8Selmer16Hermansen17Lewis23Bøe24Tønnessen1Thorvik

2. Division - Group 1: Fram 3–3 Træff

Fram and Træff drew 3-3 in 2. Division - Group 1 on August 20, 2023.

Goals: M. Woldsund (1'), J. Fjeldskår (30', 59'), J. Kristengård (33', 87'), M. Al Laham (64').

The match was played at Framparken in Larvik.

Fram vs Træff — 2. Division - Group 1 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

2. Division - Group 1: Fram 3–3 Træff