Fountain Gate 0–2 JKT Tanzania: Result & Stats

Fountain Gate

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

JKT Tanzania

P. Peter 87', 75'

11/30/2025

Ligi kuu Bara · Round 9Kwaraa Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Fountain Gate33%

×Draw28%

JKT Tanzania39%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Fountain GateExpected goals in this matchJKT Tanzania

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.11

1.22

Fountain Gate

1.11

JKT Tanzania

1.22

JKT Tanzania creates 10% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 8 away

0.85

creates per match

0.75

1.69

allows per match

1.38

creates per match

Fountain Gate

0.85

JKT Tanzania

0.75

allows per match

Fountain Gate

1.69

JKT Tanzania

1.38

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Fountain Gate+0.00on par

JKT Tanzania+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fountain Gate ↓

JKT Tanzania →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–112%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–17%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

41%59%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Fountain Gate or draw

61%

Fountain Gate or JKT Tanzania

72%

Draw or JKT Tanzania

67%

Winning margin

Fountain Gate wins by 2+

13%

JKT Tanzania wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Fountain Gate 1+ goals

67%

Fountain Gate 2+ goals

30%

Fountain Gate 3+ goals

10%

JKT Tanzania 1+ goals

70%

JKT Tanzania 2+ goals

34%

JKT Tanzania 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Fountain Gate (draw refunded)

46%

JKT Tanzania (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fountain Gate at home — creates 0.85, concedes 1.69 · 13 matches

JKT Tanzania away — creates 0.75, concedes 1.38 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fountain Gate attack 0.85 + JKT Tanzania defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.11

JKT Tanzania attack 0.75 + Fountain Gate defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Fountain Gate scores more

33%

level

28%

JKT Tanzania scores more

39%

JKT Tanzania at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "JKT Tanzania will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

75'

P. Peter

87'

P. Peter

Fountain

JKT

30

29

26

41

12

17

42

4

25

7

21

31

20

15

23

4

8

69

30

17

11

33

Fountain Gate substitutes

19Mtambi14Maneno21Abdi29Shiga27Hashim46Mpozi3Omary22SaidHaruna7ObasiKilusomo

JKT Tanzania substitutes

Dilunga11Bakari43Bausi51PeterFikiri3Kilemile31NassorChalamandaSongo

Ligi kuu Bara: Fountain Gate 0–2 JKT Tanzania

JKT Tanzania beat Fountain Gate 2-0 in Ligi kuu Bara on November 30, 2025.

Goals: P. Peter (75', 87').

The match was played at Kwaraa Stadium.

Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania — Ligi kuu Bara 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Ligi kuu Bara: Fountain Gate 0–2 JKT Tanzania