Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–0 Ružomberok: Result & Stats

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Ružomberok

A. Slimani 90+2'

E. Hottmann 4'

7/15/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf54%

×Draw26%

Ružomberok21%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Fortuna DüsseldorfExpected goals in this matchRužomberok

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.52

0.83

Fortuna Düsseldorf

1.52

Ružomberok

0.83

Fortuna Düsseldorf creates 83% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 9 away

1.60

creates per match

0.67

1.00

allows per match

1.44

creates per match

Fortuna Düsseldorf

1.60

Ružomberok

0.67

allows per match

Fortuna Düsseldorf

1.00

Ružomberok

1.44

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Fortuna Düsseldorf+0.00on par

Ružomberok+0.00on par

Total goals

Under58
Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fortuna Düsseldorf ↓

Ružomberok →

0–010%

0–18%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1–015%

1–112%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2–011%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

42%58%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw

79%

Fortuna Düsseldorf or Ružomberok

74%

Draw or Ružomberok

46%

Winning margin

Fortuna Düsseldorf wins by 2+

28%

Ružomberok wins by 2+

Team goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1+ goals

78%

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2+ goals

45%

Fortuna Düsseldorf 3+ goals

20%

Ružomberok 1+ goals

56%

Ružomberok 2+ goals

20%

Ružomberok 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Fortuna Düsseldorf (draw refunded)

72%

Ružomberok (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Fortuna Düsseldorf at home — creates 1.60, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

Ružomberok away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Fortuna Düsseldorf attack 1.60 + Ružomberok defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.52

Ružomberok attack 0.67 + Fortuna Düsseldorf defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 54%?"

Fortuna Düsseldorf scores more

54%

level

26%

Ružomberok scores more

21%

Fortuna Düsseldorf at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Fortuna Düsseldorf will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

E. Hottmann

71'

90+2'

A. Slimani

Fortuna

Ružomberok

⚽

👔

Manager: Alexander Ende

Fortuna Düsseldorf substitutes

14Consbruch15Oberdorf1Rieß2Sloot

👔

Manager: Jaroslav Köstl

Ružomberok substitutes

8Murgaš4LuteránHuňa16Hranoš9Boďa

Match Recap: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Ružomberok

Fortuna Düsseldorf beat Ružomberok 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 15, 2026.

Goals: E. Hottmann (4'), A. Slimani (90+2').

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Ružomberok — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Ružomberok