Fluminense U17 2–0 Atletico GO U17: Result & Stats

Fluminense U17

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Atletico GO U17

7/22/2026

Brasileiro U17 · Round 9

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Fluminense U1782%

×Draw12%

Atletico GO U176%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Fluminense U17Expected goals in this matchAtletico GO U17

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.92

0.68

Fluminense U17

2.92

Atletico GO U17

0.68

Fluminense U17 creates 329% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 20 away

2.14

creates per match

0.60

0.76

allows per match

3.70

creates per match

Fluminense U17

2.14

Atletico GO U17

0.60

allows per match

Fluminense U17

0.76

Atletico GO U17

3.70

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Fluminense U17+0.00on par

Atletico GO U17+0.00on par

Total goals

Over69
Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fluminense U17 ↓

Atletico GO U17 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–12%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–16%

1–22%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–012%

3–18%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–09%

4–16%

4–22%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (12%) · grid covers 85% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

87%13%2.5

69%31%3.5

47%53%4.5

27%73%

Double chance

Fluminense U17 or draw

94%

Fluminense U17 or Atletico GO U17

88%

Draw or Atletico GO U17

18%

Winning margin

Fluminense U17 wins by 2+

62%

Atletico GO U17 wins by 2+

1%

Team goals

Fluminense U17 1+ goals

94%

Fluminense U17 2+ goals

78%

Fluminense U17 3+ goals

55%

Atletico GO U17 1+ goals

49%

Atletico GO U17 2+ goals

15%

Atletico GO U17 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Fluminense U17 (draw refunded)

93%

Atletico GO U17 (draw refunded)

7%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fluminense U17 at home — creates 2.14, concedes 0.76 · 21 matches

Atletico GO U17 away — creates 0.60, concedes 3.70 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fluminense U17 attack 2.14 + Atletico GO U17 defence 3.70 → ÷2 → 2.92

Atletico GO U17 attack 0.60 + Fluminense U17 defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 0.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 82%?"

Fluminense U17 scores more

82%

level

12%

Atletico GO U17 scores more

6%

Fluminense U17 at 82% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 82% does not mean "Fluminense U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Fluminense U17 vs Atletico GO U17

Fluminense U17 beat Atletico GO U17 2-0 in Brasileiro U17 on July 22, 2026.

Fluminense U17 vs Atletico GO U17 — Brasileiro U17 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Fluminense U17 vs Atletico GO U17