Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Flekkerøy vs Viking II — 3. Division - Girone 4 2026

Flekkerøy
Flekkerøy
FT
3 – 2
HT: 2 – 0
Viking II
Viking II
T. Knutsen 77'
H. Andersen 28'
A. Barosen 5'
S. Bakken 73'
T. Moi 59' (pen)
4/12/20263. Division - Girone 43. Division - Girone 4 · Round 2Cemo Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Flekkerøy67%
×Draw18%
Viking II16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Flekkerøy
2.52
Viking II
1.15

Flekkerøy creates 119% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 7 away

creates per match

Flekkerøy
3.33
Viking II
1.14

allows per match

Flekkerøy
1.17
Viking II
1.71

finishing

Flekkerøy+0.00on par
Viking II+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 71Under: 2971%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 63No: 3763%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Flekkerøy ↓

Viking II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–17%
1–24%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Flekkerøy or draw
84%
Flekkerøy or Viking II
82%
Draw or Viking II
33%

Winning margin

Flekkerøy wins by 2+
45%
Viking II wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Flekkerøy 1+ goals
92%
Flekkerøy 2+ goals
71%
Flekkerøy 3+ goals
45%
Viking II 1+ goals
68%
Viking II 2+ goals
32%
Viking II 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Flekkerøy (draw refunded)
81%
Viking II (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Flekkerøy at home — creates 3.33, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Viking II away — creates 1.14, concedes 1.71 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Flekkerøy attack 3.33 + Viking II defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 2.52

Viking II attack 1.14 + Flekkerøy defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

Flekkerøy scores more
67%
level
18%
Viking II scores more
16%

Flekkerøy at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "Flekkerøy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'
A. Barosen
28'
H. Andersen
59'
T. MoiPenalty
73'
S. Bakken
77'
T. Knutsen

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

3. Division - Girone 4: Flekkerøy 3–2 Viking II

Flekkerøy beat Viking II 3-2 in 3. Division - Girone 4 on April 12, 2026.

Goals: A. Barosen (5'), H. Andersen (28'), T. Moi (59' pen), S. Bakken (73'), T. Knutsen (77').

The match was played at Cemo Arena in Kristiansand.