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FK Vozdovac vs Rudar Velenje — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac
FT
0 – 0
Rudar Velenje
Rudar Velenje
7/3/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Fudbalski teren HTP Palisad

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

FK Vozdovac80%
×Draw16%
Rudar Velenje4%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FK Vozdovac
2.06
Rudar Velenje
0.29

FK Vozdovac creates 610% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 12 away

creates per match

FK Vozdovac
0.80
Rudar Velenje
0.17

allows per match

FK Vozdovac
0.40
Rudar Velenje
3.33

finishing

FK Vozdovac+0.00on par
Rudar Velenje+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

78%No
  • No78
  • Yes22

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FK Vozdovac ↓

Rudar Velenje →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–13%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–020%
1–16%
1–21%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–020%
2–16%
2–21%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–014%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–07%
4–12%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
41%59%3.5
21%79%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

FK Vozdovac or draw
96%
FK Vozdovac or Rudar Velenje
84%
Draw or Rudar Velenje
20%

Winning margin

FK Vozdovac wins by 2+
53%
Rudar Velenje wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

FK Vozdovac 1+ goals
87%
FK Vozdovac 2+ goals
61%
FK Vozdovac 3+ goals
34%
Rudar Velenje 1+ goals
25%
Rudar Velenje 2+ goals
3%
Rudar Velenje 3+ goals
0%

Draw no bet

FK Vozdovac (draw refunded)
95%
Rudar Velenje (draw refunded)
5%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
16%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FK Vozdovac at home — creates 0.80, concedes 0.40 · 5 matches

Rudar Velenje away — creates 0.17, concedes 3.33 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FK Vozdovac attack 0.80 + Rudar Velenje defence 3.33 → ÷2 → 2.06

Rudar Velenje attack 0.17 + FK Vozdovac defence 0.40 → ÷2 → 0.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 80%?"

FK Vozdovac scores more
80%
level
16%
Rudar Velenje scores more
4%

FK Vozdovac at 80% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 80% does not mean "FK Vozdovac will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: FK Vozdovac 0–0 Rudar Velenje

FK Vozdovac and Rudar Velenje drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 3, 2021.

The match was played at Fudbalski teren HTP Palisad in Zlatibor.