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FK Vozdovac vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV — Super Liga 2026

FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
4/26/2024Super LigaSuper Liga · Relegation Round - 2Stadion Event Place

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 107+ matches

FK Vozdovac47%
×Draw26%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FK Vozdovac
1.50
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.06

FK Vozdovac creates 42% more chances

Season form · 107 home / 145 away

creates per match

FK Vozdovac
1.46
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
0.97

allows per match

FK Vozdovac
1.15
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.53

finishing

FK Vozdovac+0.00on par
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FK Vozdovac ↓

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

FK Vozdovac or draw
73%
FK Vozdovac or FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
74%
Draw or FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
53%

Winning margin

FK Vozdovac wins by 2+
24%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

FK Vozdovac 1+ goals
78%
FK Vozdovac 2+ goals
44%
FK Vozdovac 3+ goals
19%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1+ goals
65%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 2+ goals
29%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

FK Vozdovac (draw refunded)
64%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FK Vozdovac at home — creates 1.46, concedes 1.15 · 107 matches

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV away — creates 0.97, concedes 1.53 · 145 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FK Vozdovac attack 1.46 + FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.50

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV attack 0.97 + FK Vozdovac defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

FK Vozdovac scores more
47%
level
26%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV scores more
27%

FK Vozdovac at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "FK Vozdovac will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super Liga: FK Vozdovac 0–0 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

FK Vozdovac and FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV drew 0-0 in Super Liga on April 26, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Event Place in Beograd.