Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs TSC Backa Topola — Super Liga 2026

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
TSC Backa Topola
TSC Backa Topola
12/8/2024Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 18Gradski Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 125+ matches

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV34%
×Draw25%
TSC Backa Topola41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.31
TSC Backa Topola
1.48

TSC Backa Topola creates 13% more chances

Season form · 145 home / 125 away

creates per match

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.32
TSC Backa Topola
1.54

allows per match

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.43
TSC Backa Topola
1.31

finishing

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV+0.00on par
TSC Backa Topola+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV ↓

TSC Backa Topola →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–19%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or draw
59%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV or TSC Backa Topola
75%
Draw or TSC Backa Topola
66%

Winning margin

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV wins by 2+
15%
TSC Backa Topola wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 1+ goals
73%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 2+ goals
38%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 3+ goals
14%
TSC Backa Topola 1+ goals
77%
TSC Backa Topola 2+ goals
43%
TSC Backa Topola 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV (draw refunded)
45%
TSC Backa Topola (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.43 · 145 matches

TSC Backa Topola away — creates 1.54, concedes 1.31 · 125 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV attack 1.32 + TSC Backa Topola defence 1.31 → ÷2 → 1.31

TSC Backa Topola attack 1.54 + FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV scores more
34%
level
25%
TSC Backa Topola scores more
41%

TSC Backa Topola at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "TSC Backa Topola will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs TSC Backa Topola

FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV and TSC Backa Topola drew 0-0 in Super Liga on December 8, 2024.

The match was played at Gradski Stadion in Subotica.