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FK Ruh Brest Res. vs Slavia Res. — League #562 2026

FK Ruh Brest Res.
FK Ruh Brest Res.
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Slavia Res.
Slavia Res.
7/17/2022League #562League #562 · Round 15

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

FK Ruh Brest Res.37%
×Draw26%
Slavia Res.37%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FK Ruh Brest Res.
1.33
Slavia Res.
1.33

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

FK Ruh Brest Res.
1.33
Slavia Res.
1.33

allows per match

FK Ruh Brest Res.
1.33
Slavia Res.
1.33

finishing

FK Ruh Brest Res.+0.00on par
Slavia Res.+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FK Ruh Brest Res. ↓

Slavia Res. →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

FK Ruh Brest Res. or draw
63%
FK Ruh Brest Res. or Slavia Res.
74%
Draw or Slavia Res.
63%

Winning margin

FK Ruh Brest Res. wins by 2+
17%
Slavia Res. wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

FK Ruh Brest Res. 1+ goals
74%
FK Ruh Brest Res. 2+ goals
38%
FK Ruh Brest Res. 3+ goals
15%
Slavia Res. 1+ goals
74%
Slavia Res. 2+ goals
38%
Slavia Res. 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

FK Ruh Brest Res. (draw refunded)
50%
Slavia Res. (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FK Ruh Brest Res. at home — creates 1.33, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

Slavia Res. away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FK Ruh Brest Res. attack 1.33 + Slavia Res. defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.33

Slavia Res. attack 1.33 + FK Ruh Brest Res. defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

FK Ruh Brest Res. scores more
37%
level
26%
Slavia Res. scores more
37%

FK Ruh Brest Res. at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "FK Ruh Brest Res. will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #562: FK Ruh Brest Res. 0–3 Slavia Res.

Slavia Res. beat FK Ruh Brest Res. 3-0 in League #562 on July 17, 2022.