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FK Rabotnicki vs Shkupi 1927 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FK Rabotnicki
FK Rabotnicki
FT
5 – 2
HT: 2 – 1
Shkupi 1927
Shkupi 1927
1/18/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

FK Rabotnicki63%
×Draw21%
Shkupi 192717%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FK Rabotnicki
2.04
Shkupi 1927
0.94

FK Rabotnicki creates 117% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 7 away

creates per match

FK Rabotnicki
2.50
Shkupi 1927
1.14

allows per match

FK Rabotnicki
0.75
Shkupi 1927
1.57

finishing

FK Rabotnicki+0.00on par
Shkupi 1927+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FK Rabotnicki ↓

Shkupi 1927 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–110%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

FK Rabotnicki or draw
83%
FK Rabotnicki or Shkupi 1927
79%
Draw or Shkupi 1927
37%

Winning margin

FK Rabotnicki wins by 2+
39%
Shkupi 1927 wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

FK Rabotnicki 1+ goals
87%
FK Rabotnicki 2+ goals
60%
FK Rabotnicki 3+ goals
33%
Shkupi 1927 1+ goals
61%
Shkupi 1927 2+ goals
24%
Shkupi 1927 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

FK Rabotnicki (draw refunded)
79%
Shkupi 1927 (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FK Rabotnicki at home — creates 2.50, concedes 0.75 · 8 matches

Shkupi 1927 away — creates 1.14, concedes 1.57 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FK Rabotnicki attack 2.50 + Shkupi 1927 defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 2.04

Shkupi 1927 attack 1.14 + FK Rabotnicki defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

FK Rabotnicki scores more
63%
level
21%
Shkupi 1927 scores more
17%

FK Rabotnicki at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "FK Rabotnicki will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FK Rabotnicki vs Shkupi 1927

FK Rabotnicki beat Shkupi 1927 5-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 18, 2026.