FK Pirmasens U19 2–1 Sandhausen U19: Result & Stats

FK Pirmasens U19

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Sandhausen U19

3/15/2026

U19 Bundesliga · Round 6

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

FK Pirmasens U1952%

×Draw21%

Sandhausen U1927%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.4%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.4% correct across 574,295 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FK Pirmasens U19Expected goals in this matchSandhausen U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.14

1.52

FK Pirmasens U19

2.14

Sandhausen U19

1.52

FK Pirmasens U19 creates 41% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 38 away

1.83

creates per match

1.55

1.50

allows per match

2.45

creates per match

FK Pirmasens U19

1.83

Sandhausen U19

1.55

allows per match

FK Pirmasens U19

1.50

Sandhausen U19

2.45

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FK Pirmasens U19+0.00on par

Sandhausen U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over71
Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes69
No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FK Pirmasens U19 ↓

Sandhausen U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–18%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–23%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

88%12%2.5

71%29%3.5

49%51%4.5

30%70%

Double chance

FK Pirmasens U19 or draw

73%

FK Pirmasens U19 or Sandhausen U19

79%

Draw or Sandhausen U19

48%

Winning margin

FK Pirmasens U19 wins by 2+

31%

Sandhausen U19 wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

FK Pirmasens U19 1+ goals

88%

FK Pirmasens U19 2+ goals

63%

FK Pirmasens U19 3+ goals

36%

Sandhausen U19 1+ goals

78%

Sandhausen U19 2+ goals

45%

Sandhausen U19 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

FK Pirmasens U19 (draw refunded)

65%

Sandhausen U19 (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

60%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FK Pirmasens U19 at home — creates 1.83, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

Sandhausen U19 away — creates 1.55, concedes 2.45 · 38 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FK Pirmasens U19 attack 1.83 + Sandhausen U19 defence 2.45 → ÷2 → 2.14

Sandhausen U19 attack 1.55 + FK Pirmasens U19 defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

FK Pirmasens U19 scores more

52%

level

21%

Sandhausen U19 scores more

27%

FK Pirmasens U19 at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "FK Pirmasens U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff