FK Partizan 0–0 Radnicki NIS: Result & Stats

FK Partizan

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Radnicki NIS

1/31/2026

Super Liga · Round 21Stadion Partizana

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 148+ matches

FK Partizan59%

×Draw23%

Radnicki NIS18%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FK PartizanExpected goals in this matchRadnicki NIS

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.83

0.90

FK Partizan

1.83

Radnicki NIS

0.90

FK Partizan creates 103% more chances

Season form · 148 home / 148 away

2.23

creates per match

1.01

0.78

allows per match

1.43

creates per match

FK Partizan

2.23

Radnicki NIS

1.01

allows per match

FK Partizan

0.78

Radnicki NIS

1.43

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FK Partizan+0.00on par

Radnicki NIS+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FK Partizan ↓

Radnicki NIS →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–111%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

76%24%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

FK Partizan or draw

82%

FK Partizan or Radnicki NIS

77%

Draw or Radnicki NIS

41%

Winning margin

FK Partizan wins by 2+

34%

Radnicki NIS wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

FK Partizan 1+ goals

84%

FK Partizan 2+ goals

54%

FK Partizan 3+ goals

28%

Radnicki NIS 1+ goals

59%

Radnicki NIS 2+ goals

23%

Radnicki NIS 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

FK Partizan (draw refunded)

77%

Radnicki NIS (draw refunded)

23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FK Partizan at home — creates 2.23, concedes 0.78 · 148 matches

Radnicki NIS away — creates 1.01, concedes 1.43 · 148 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FK Partizan attack 2.23 + Radnicki NIS defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.83

Radnicki NIS attack 1.01 + FK Partizan defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

FK Partizan scores more

59%

level

23%

Radnicki NIS scores more

18%

FK Partizan at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "FK Partizan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff