FK Becej vs Omladinac NB — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 86+ matches
FK Becej39%
Omladinac NB36%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Both teams create about equally
Season form · 86 home / 103 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over51
- Under49
Close call
Both teams score
- Yes55
- No45
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
FK Becej ↓
Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
FK Becej at home — creates 1.69, concedes 1.56 · 86 matches
Omladinac NB away — creates 1.09, concedes 1.10 · 103 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
FK Becej attack 1.69 + Omladinac NB defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.40
Omladinac NB attack 1.09 + FK Becej defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.33
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 39%?"
FK Becej at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 39% does not mean "FK Becej will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
Železničar Pančevo
Bačka 1901
Radnički Zrenjanin
OFK Vršac
Dinamo Pančevo
Radnički Sombor
Bratstvo PrigrevicaFK BecejOmladinac NB
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1. Maj Ruma
Borac Sakule
Vojvodina 1928
Kozara
Hajduk 1912 Kula
Dunav Stari BanovciIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
FK Becej host Omladinac NB on Saturday, 4 March 2023 at 13:30. The match is part of the Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019/2020 season.
Match Recap: FK Becej vs Omladinac NB
Omladinac NB beat FK Becej 2-1 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on March 4, 2023.
The match was played at Gradski stadion kraj Tise in Bečej.