Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir vs Vikingur Olafsiik — 2. Deild 2026

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Vikingur Olafsiik
Vikingur Olafsiik
M. Sverrisson 2'
K. Quee 7'
5/17/20252. Deild2. Deild · Round 3Fjarðabyggðarhöllin

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir58%
×Draw19%
Vikingur Olafsiik23%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2.50
Vikingur Olafsiik
1.55

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir creates 61% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 21 away

creates per match

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
3.05
Vikingur Olafsiik
1.48

allows per match

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
1.63
Vikingur Olafsiik
1.95

finishing

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir+0.00on par
Vikingur Olafsiik+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir ↓

Vikingur Olafsiik →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–25%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir or draw
77%
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir or Vikingur Olafsiik
81%
Draw or Vikingur Olafsiik
42%

Winning margin

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir wins by 2+
37%
Vikingur Olafsiik wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir 1+ goals
92%
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir 2+ goals
71%
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir 3+ goals
45%
Vikingur Olafsiik 1+ goals
79%
Vikingur Olafsiik 2+ goals
46%
Vikingur Olafsiik 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir (draw refunded)
71%
Vikingur Olafsiik (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir at home — creates 3.05, concedes 1.63 · 19 matches

Vikingur Olafsiik away — creates 1.48, concedes 1.95 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir attack 3.05 + Vikingur Olafsiik defence 1.95 → ÷2 → 2.50

Vikingur Olafsiik attack 1.48 + Fjardabyggd / Leiknir defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir scores more
58%
level
19%
Vikingur Olafsiik scores more
23%

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Fjardabyggd / Leiknir will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

2'
M. Sverrisson
7'
K. Quee

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

2. Deild: Fjardabyggd / Leiknir 1–1 Vikingur Olafsiik

Fjardabyggd / Leiknir and Vikingur Olafsiik drew 1-1 in 2. Deild on May 17, 2025.

Goals: M. Sverrisson (2'), K. Quee (7').

The match was played at Fjarðabyggðarhöllin in Reyðarfjörður.