Fiľakovo 2–2 Rimavská Sobota: Result & Stats

Fiľakovo

FT

2 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

Rimavská Sobota

4/12/2026

3. liga - Center · Central - 19Štadión FTC Fiľakovo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

Fiľakovo61%

×Draw20%

Rimavská Sobota19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FiľakovoExpected goals in this matchRimavská Sobota

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.26

1.19

Fiľakovo

2.26

Rimavská Sobota

1.19

Fiľakovo creates 90% more chances

Season form · 36 home / 35 away

1.92

creates per match

1.29

1.08

allows per match

2.60

creates per match

Fiľakovo

1.92

Rimavská Sobota

1.29

allows per match

Fiľakovo

1.08

Rimavská Sobota

2.60

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Fiľakovo+0.00on par

Rimavská Sobota+0.00on par

Total goals

Over67
Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fiľakovo ↓

Rimavská Sobota →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–19%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

67%33%3.5

45%55%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

Fiľakovo or draw

81%

Fiľakovo or Rimavská Sobota

80%

Draw or Rimavská Sobota

39%

Winning margin

Fiľakovo wins by 2+

39%

Rimavská Sobota wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Fiľakovo 1+ goals

89%

Fiľakovo 2+ goals

66%

Fiľakovo 3+ goals

39%

Rimavská Sobota 1+ goals

70%

Rimavská Sobota 2+ goals

33%

Rimavská Sobota 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Fiľakovo (draw refunded)

76%

Rimavská Sobota (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fiľakovo at home — creates 1.92, concedes 1.08 · 36 matches

Rimavská Sobota away — creates 1.29, concedes 2.60 · 35 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fiľakovo attack 1.92 + Rimavská Sobota defence 2.60 → ÷2 → 2.26

Rimavská Sobota attack 1.29 + Fiľakovo defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Fiľakovo scores more

61%

level

20%

Rimavská Sobota scores more

19%

Fiľakovo at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Fiľakovo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff