Fenerbahçe 4–0 Konyaspor: Result & Stats

Fenerbahçe

FT

4 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Konyaspor

M. Asensio 87'

Talisca 37', 28' (pen)

M. Muldur 30'

12/15/2025

League #203 · Round 16Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Fenerbahçe60%

×Draw20%

Konyaspor20%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FenerbahçeExpected goals in this matchKonyaspor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.23

1.21

Fenerbahçe

2.23

Konyaspor

1.21

Fenerbahçe creates 84% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 8 away

2.34

creates per match

1.44

0.98

allows per match

2.13

creates per match

Fenerbahçe

2.34

Konyaspor

1.44

allows per match

Fenerbahçe

0.98

Konyaspor

2.13

+0.46scores more than expected

finishing

-0.06on par

finishing

Fenerbahçe+0.46scores more

Konyaspor-0.06on par

Total goals

Over67
Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fenerbahçe ↓

Konyaspor →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–19%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

67%33%3.5

45%55%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

Fenerbahçe or draw

80%

Fenerbahçe or Konyaspor

80%

Draw or Konyaspor

40%

Winning margin

Fenerbahçe wins by 2+

38%

Konyaspor wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Fenerbahçe 1+ goals

89%

Fenerbahçe 2+ goals

65%

Fenerbahçe 3+ goals

38%

Konyaspor 1+ goals

70%

Konyaspor 2+ goals

34%

Konyaspor 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Fenerbahçe (draw refunded)

75%

Konyaspor (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fenerbahçe at home — creates 2.34, concedes 0.98 · 5 matches

Konyaspor away — creates 1.44, concedes 2.13 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fenerbahçe attack 2.34 + Konyaspor defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 2.23

Konyaspor attack 1.44 + Fenerbahçe defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Fenerbahçe scores more

60%

level

20%

Konyaspor scores more

20%

Fenerbahçe at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Fenerbahçe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21

M. Asensio

Fenerbahçe · M

9.2

Match Events

8'

Jo Jin-ho

26'

Jhon DuránPenalty confirmed

28'

TaliscaPenalty

30'

M. Muldur↳ E. Alvarez

34'

37'

41'

46'

48'

55'

67'

I. Yuksek← Fred

67'

S. Szymanski← J. Duran

78'

B. Elmaz← E. Alvarez

78'

O. Aydin← K. Akturkoglu

84'

M. Bostan← U. Nayir

85'

K. Subasi← Guilherme

87'

M. Asensio

90'

M. Jevtovic← M. Ibrahimoglu

90'

K. Akyazi← E. Bardhi

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

FenerbahçeKonyaspor

Overview

53%Possession47%

17Total Shots17

3.29Expected Goals (xG)0.98

4Corners4

15Fouls9

Shots

17Total Shots17

9On Target5

4Off Target4

4Blocked8

12Inside Box6

5Outside Box11

Passing

53%Possession47%

462Total Passes405

407Accurate Passes347

88%Pass Accuracy86%

Goalkeeping

5Saves4

-1.57Goals Prevented-1.57

Discipline

15Fouls9

2Yellow Cards2

1Offsides0

Match Recap: Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor

Fenerbahçe beat Konyaspor 4-0 in League #203 on December 15, 2025.

Goals: Talisca (28' pen, 37'), M. Muldur (30'), M. Asensio (87').

Fenerbahçe controlled possession (53%) and registered 17 shots to 17.

The match was played at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu in Istanbul.

Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor — League #203 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor