Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Fehérvár FC vs Gyirmot SE — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Fehérvár FC
Fehérvár FC
CANC
13:00
Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
1/23/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3MOL Aréna Sóstó

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Fehérvár FC56%
×Draw24%
Gyirmot SE20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fehérvár FC
1.72
Gyirmot SE
0.93

Fehérvár FC creates 85% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 4 away

creates per match

Fehérvár FC
2.43
Gyirmot SE
1.00

allows per match

Fehérvár FC
0.86
Gyirmot SE
1.00

finishing

Fehérvár FC+0.00on par
Gyirmot SE+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fehérvár FC ↓

Gyirmot SE →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Fehérvár FC or draw
80%
Fehérvár FC or Gyirmot SE
76%
Draw or Gyirmot SE
44%

Winning margin

Fehérvár FC wins by 2+
31%
Gyirmot SE wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Fehérvár FC 1+ goals
82%
Fehérvár FC 2+ goals
51%
Fehérvár FC 3+ goals
25%
Gyirmot SE 1+ goals
61%
Gyirmot SE 2+ goals
24%
Gyirmot SE 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Fehérvár FC (draw refunded)
73%
Gyirmot SE (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fehérvár FC at home — creates 2.43, concedes 0.86 · 14 matches

Gyirmot SE away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.00 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fehérvár FC attack 2.43 + Gyirmot SE defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.72

Gyirmot SE attack 1.00 + Fehérvár FC defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Fehérvár FC scores more
56%
level
24%
Gyirmot SE scores more
20%

Fehérvár FC at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Fehérvár FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Fehérvár FC host Gyirmot SE

January 23, 2022: Fehérvár FC take on Gyirmot SE in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Fehérvár FC host Gyirmot SE at MOL Aréna Sóstó.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.