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Fehérvár FC vs Cukaricki — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Fehérvár FC
Fehérvár FC
CANC
15:30
Cukaricki
Cukaricki
7/11/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Športni Park Ruteč

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Fehérvár FC50%
×Draw23%
Cukaricki27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Fehérvár FC
1.81
Cukaricki
1.29

Fehérvár FC creates 40% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 11 away

creates per match

Fehérvár FC
2.43
Cukaricki
1.73

allows per match

Fehérvár FC
0.86
Cukaricki
1.18

finishing

Fehérvár FC+0.00on par
Cukaricki+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fehérvár FC ↓

Cukaricki →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Fehérvár FC or draw
73%
Fehérvár FC or Cukaricki
77%
Draw or Cukaricki
50%

Winning margin

Fehérvár FC wins by 2+
27%
Cukaricki wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Fehérvár FC 1+ goals
84%
Fehérvár FC 2+ goals
54%
Fehérvár FC 3+ goals
27%
Cukaricki 1+ goals
72%
Cukaricki 2+ goals
37%
Cukaricki 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Fehérvár FC (draw refunded)
64%
Cukaricki (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fehérvár FC at home — creates 2.43, concedes 0.86 · 14 matches

Cukaricki away — creates 1.73, concedes 1.18 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fehérvár FC attack 2.43 + Cukaricki defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.81

Cukaricki attack 1.73 + Fehérvár FC defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Fehérvár FC scores more
50%
level
23%
Cukaricki scores more
27%

Fehérvár FC at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Fehérvár FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Fehérvár FC host Cukaricki

July 11, 2024: Fehérvár FC take on Cukaricki in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Fehérvár FC host Cukaricki at Športni Park Ruteč.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.