FCSB 1–2 Viking: Result & Stats

FCSB

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 2

Viking

F. Coman 3'

S. Bjørshol 35'

K. Kabran 5'

8/18/2022

UEFA Europa Conference League · Play-offsArena Naţională

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

FCSB28%

×Draw25%

Viking47%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FCSBExpected goals in this matchViking

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.16

1.58

FCSB

1.16

Viking

1.58

Viking creates 36% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 5 away

1.11

creates per match

1.60

1.56

allows per match

1.20

creates per match

FCSB

1.11

Viking

1.60

allows per match

FCSB

1.56

Viking

1.20

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FCSB+0.00on par

Viking+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FCSB ↓

Viking →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–110%

0–28%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–25%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

FCSB or draw

53%

FCSB or Viking

75%

Draw or Viking

72%

Winning margin

FCSB wins by 2+

11%

Viking wins by 2+

24%

Team goals

FCSB 1+ goals

69%

FCSB 2+ goals

32%

FCSB 3+ goals

11%

Viking 1+ goals

79%

Viking 2+ goals

47%

Viking 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

FCSB (draw refunded)

37%

Viking (draw refunded)

63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FCSB at home — creates 1.11, concedes 1.56 · 9 matches

Viking away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FCSB attack 1.11 + Viking defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.16

Viking attack 1.60 + FCSB defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

FCSB scores more

28%

level

25%

Viking scores more

47%

Viking at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Viking will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

3'

F. Coman

5'

K. Kabran

35'

S. Bjørshol

46'

N. Sandberg← D. Karlsbakk

54'

B. Rusu← D. Miculescu

54'

V. Crețu← A. Pantea

57'

Kristoffer Løkberg

65'

F. Torsteinbø← K. Løkberg

73'

R. Vikstøl← S. Bjørshol

74'

V. Raţă← Octavian Popescu

76'

Samúel Kári Friðjónsson

80'

Joonas Tamm

83'

M. Traoré← Z. Tripić

83'

H. Tangen← S. Friðjónsson

86'

I. Stoica← A. Cordea

90+5'

Ianis Stoica

90+5'

Darius Olaru

FCSB4-2-3-1

Viking4-3-3

10

▼

Tripić

22

▼

Karlsbakk

9

⚽

Kabran

16

▼

Løkberg

8

Solbakken

27

▼

20

3

4

18

⚽

▼

30

32

33

16

5

28

▼

Pantea

27

Olaru

18

Edjouma

7

⚽

Coman

10

▼

Popescu

98

▼

Cordea

11

▼

Miculescu

Manager: N. Dică

54'▲B. Rusu←▼D. Miculescu

54'▲V. Crețu←▼A. Pantea

74'▲V. Raţă←▼Octavian Popescu

86'▲I. Stoica←▼A. Cordea

FCSB substitutes

90Rusu2Crețu24Raţă9Stoica14Tănasă26Oaidă80Rădăslăvescu20Dulca99Vlad22Boboc30Muși6Haruţ

Manager: B. Aarsheim

46'▲N. Sandberg←▼D. Karlsbakk

65'▲F. Torsteinbø←▼K. Løkberg

73'▲R. Vikstøl←▼S. Bjørshol

83'▲M. Traoré←▼Z. Tripić

83'▲H. Tangen←▼S. Friðjónsson

Viking substitutes

15Sandberg7Torsteinbø23Vikstøl24Traoré21Tangen35Austbö34Paulsen19Auklend13Ree26Kvia-Egeskog1Østbø11Lanlay

FCSB 1 – 2 Viking

Viking beat FCSB 2-1 in UEFA Europa Conference League on August 18, 2022.

Goals: F. Coman (3'), K. Kabran (5'), S. Bjørshol (35').

The match was played at Arena Naţională in Bucureşti.

FCSB vs Viking — UEFA Europa Conference League 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

FCSB 1 – 2 Viking