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FC Zurich vs FC WIL 1900 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Zurich
FC Zurich
FT
3 – 2
FC WIL 1900
FC WIL 1900
6/18/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sportanlage Sürenloh

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

FC Zurich51%
×Draw20%
FC WIL 190029%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Zurich
2.32
FC WIL 1900
1.74

FC Zurich creates 33% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 16 away

creates per match

FC Zurich
2.20
FC WIL 1900
1.38

allows per match

FC Zurich
2.10
FC WIL 1900
2.44

finishing

FC Zurich+0.00on par
FC WIL 1900+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 77Under: 2377%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 74No: 2674%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Zurich ↓

FC WIL 1900 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
38%62%

Double chance

FC Zurich or draw
71%
FC Zurich or FC WIL 1900
80%
Draw or FC WIL 1900
49%

Winning margin

FC Zurich wins by 2+
31%
FC WIL 1900 wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

FC Zurich 1+ goals
90%
FC Zurich 2+ goals
67%
FC Zurich 3+ goals
40%
FC WIL 1900 1+ goals
82%
FC WIL 1900 2+ goals
52%
FC WIL 1900 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

FC Zurich (draw refunded)
63%
FC WIL 1900 (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Zurich at home — creates 2.20, concedes 2.10 · 20 matches

FC WIL 1900 away — creates 1.38, concedes 2.44 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Zurich attack 2.20 + FC WIL 1900 defence 2.44 → ÷2 → 2.32

FC WIL 1900 attack 1.38 + FC Zurich defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 1.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

FC Zurich scores more
51%
level
20%
FC WIL 1900 scores more
29%

FC Zurich at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "FC Zurich will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: FC Zurich 3–2 FC WIL 1900

FC Zurich beat FC WIL 1900 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on June 18, 2022.

The match was played at Sportanlage Sürenloh in Uitikon.