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FC WIL 1900 vs FC ST. Gallen — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC WIL 1900
FC WIL 1900
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
F. Schubert 85'
1/19/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3IGP Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

FC WIL 190043%
×Draw23%
FC ST. Gallen34%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC WIL 1900
1.70
FC ST. Gallen
1.50

FC WIL 1900 creates 13% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 6 away

creates per match

FC WIL 1900
1.56
FC ST. Gallen
1.33

allows per match

FC WIL 1900
1.67
FC ST. Gallen
1.83

finishing

FC WIL 1900+0.00on par
FC ST. Gallen+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC WIL 1900 ↓

FC ST. Gallen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

FC WIL 1900 or draw
66%
FC WIL 1900 or FC ST. Gallen
77%
Draw or FC ST. Gallen
57%

Winning margin

FC WIL 1900 wins by 2+
22%
FC ST. Gallen wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

FC WIL 1900 1+ goals
82%
FC WIL 1900 2+ goals
51%
FC WIL 1900 3+ goals
24%
FC ST. Gallen 1+ goals
78%
FC ST. Gallen 2+ goals
44%
FC ST. Gallen 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

FC WIL 1900 (draw refunded)
56%
FC ST. Gallen (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC WIL 1900 at home — creates 1.56, concedes 1.67 · 9 matches

FC ST. Gallen away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC WIL 1900 attack 1.56 + FC ST. Gallen defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.70

FC ST. Gallen attack 1.33 + FC WIL 1900 defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

FC WIL 1900 scores more
43%
level
23%
FC ST. Gallen scores more
34%

FC WIL 1900 at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "FC WIL 1900 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

85'
F. Schubert

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FC WIL 1900 vs FC ST. Gallen

FC ST. Gallen beat FC WIL 1900 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 19, 2022.

Goals: F. Schubert (85').

The match was played at IGP Arena in Wil.