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FC WIL 1900 vs Dornbirn — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC WIL 1900
FC WIL 1900
FT
4 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Dornbirn
Dornbirn
1/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Lidl Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

FC WIL 190064%
×Draw18%
Dornbirn19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC WIL 1900
2.67
Dornbirn
1.41

FC WIL 1900 creates 89% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 8 away

creates per match

FC WIL 1900
2.08
Dornbirn
1.13

allows per match

FC WIL 1900
1.69
Dornbirn
3.25

finishing

FC WIL 1900+0.00on par
Dornbirn+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC WIL 1900 ↓

Dornbirn →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–16%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–18%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

FC WIL 1900 or draw
81%
FC WIL 1900 or Dornbirn
82%
Draw or Dornbirn
36%

Winning margin

FC WIL 1900 wins by 2+
43%
Dornbirn wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

FC WIL 1900 1+ goals
93%
FC WIL 1900 2+ goals
74%
FC WIL 1900 3+ goals
49%
Dornbirn 1+ goals
76%
Dornbirn 2+ goals
41%
Dornbirn 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

FC WIL 1900 (draw refunded)
77%
Dornbirn (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC WIL 1900 at home — creates 2.08, concedes 1.69 · 13 matches

Dornbirn away — creates 1.13, concedes 3.25 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC WIL 1900 attack 2.08 + Dornbirn defence 3.25 → ÷2 → 2.67

Dornbirn attack 1.13 + FC WIL 1900 defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

FC WIL 1900 scores more
64%
level
18%
Dornbirn scores more
19%

FC WIL 1900 at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "FC WIL 1900 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: FC WIL 1900 4–0 Dornbirn

FC WIL 1900 beat Dornbirn 4-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 20, 2024.

The match was played at Lidl Arena in Wil.