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FC Voluntari vs Focşani — Liga II 2018

FC Voluntari
FC Voluntari
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Focşani
Focşani
3/1/2025Liga IILiga II · Round 19Stadionul Anghel Iordănescu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

FC Voluntari61%
×Draw26%
Focşani14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Voluntari
1.52
Focşani
0.56

FC Voluntari creates 171% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 12 away

creates per match

FC Voluntari
1.71
Focşani
0.42

allows per match

FC Voluntari
0.71
Focşani
1.33

finishing

FC Voluntari+0.00on par
Focşani+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

67%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Voluntari ↓

Focşani →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–17%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–019%
1–111%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

FC Voluntari or draw
86%
FC Voluntari or Focşani
74%
Draw or Focşani
39%

Winning margin

FC Voluntari wins by 2+
32%
Focşani wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

FC Voluntari 1+ goals
78%
FC Voluntari 2+ goals
45%
FC Voluntari 3+ goals
20%
Focşani 1+ goals
43%
Focşani 2+ goals
11%
Focşani 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

FC Voluntari (draw refunded)
82%
Focşani (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
23%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Voluntari at home — creates 1.71, concedes 0.71 · 31 matches

Focşani away — creates 0.42, concedes 1.33 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Voluntari attack 1.71 + Focşani defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.52

Focşani attack 0.42 + FC Voluntari defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 0.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

FC Voluntari scores more
61%
level
26%
Focşani scores more
14%

FC Voluntari at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "FC Voluntari will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FC Voluntari vs Focşani

FC Voluntari and Focşani drew 0-0 in Liga II on March 1, 2025.

The match was played at Stadionul Anghel Iordănescu in Voluntari.