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FC Vaduz vs SCR Altach — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
FT
0 – 3
SCR Altach
SCR Altach
3/24/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Rheinpark Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

FC Vaduz51%
×Draw22%
SCR Altach27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Vaduz
2.01
SCR Altach
1.41

FC Vaduz creates 43% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 13 away

creates per match

FC Vaduz
2.56
SCR Altach
1.38

allows per match

FC Vaduz
1.44
SCR Altach
1.46

finishing

FC Vaduz+0.00on par
SCR Altach+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Vaduz ↓

SCR Altach →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

FC Vaduz or draw
73%
FC Vaduz or SCR Altach
78%
Draw or SCR Altach
49%

Winning margin

FC Vaduz wins by 2+
30%
SCR Altach wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

FC Vaduz 1+ goals
87%
FC Vaduz 2+ goals
59%
FC Vaduz 3+ goals
32%
SCR Altach 1+ goals
76%
SCR Altach 2+ goals
41%
SCR Altach 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

FC Vaduz (draw refunded)
66%
SCR Altach (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Vaduz at home — creates 2.56, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

SCR Altach away — creates 1.38, concedes 1.46 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Vaduz attack 2.56 + SCR Altach defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 2.01

SCR Altach attack 1.38 + FC Vaduz defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

FC Vaduz scores more
51%
level
22%
SCR Altach scores more
27%

FC Vaduz at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "FC Vaduz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: FC Vaduz 0–3 SCR Altach

SCR Altach beat FC Vaduz 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on March 24, 2022.

The match was played at Rheinpark Stadion in Vaduz.