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FC Thun vs Grasshoppers — Super League 2025

FC Thun
FC Thun
Preview
16:00
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
9/12/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 8Stockhorn Arena
Big match
57%
FC Thun
model favours
57%21%22%

Both teams score in 100% of FC Thun’s matches

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
67%
over 2.5 goals
64%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

FC Thun57%
×Draw21%
Grasshoppers22%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Thun
2.17
Grasshoppers
1.30

FC Thun creates 67% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 25 away

creates per match

FC Thun
2.43
Grasshoppers
1.08

allows per match

FC Thun
1.52
Grasshoppers
1.92

finishing

FC Thun+0.00on par
Grasshoppers+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Thun ↓

Grasshoppers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

FC Thun or draw
78%
FC Thun or Grasshoppers
79%
Draw or Grasshoppers
43%

Winning margin

FC Thun wins by 2+
35%
Grasshoppers wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

FC Thun 1+ goals
89%
FC Thun 2+ goals
64%
FC Thun 3+ goals
36%
Grasshoppers 1+ goals
73%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
37%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

FC Thun (draw refunded)
72%
Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Thun at home — creates 2.43, concedes 1.52 · 21 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 1.08, concedes 1.92 · 25 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Thun attack 2.43 + Grasshoppers defence 1.92 → ÷2 → 2.17

Grasshoppers attack 1.08 + FC Thun defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

FC Thun scores more
57%
level
21%
Grasshoppers scores more
22%

FC Thun at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "FC Thun will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Grasshoppers score first in only 17% of matches
  • FC Thun score first in only 30% of matches
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC Thun
Balanced
Grasshoppers
Direct / counter-attacking
50%Possession45%
68%Pass accuracy71%
16.1ShotsBiggest gap11.0
1.46xG1.21
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC ThunGrasshoppers

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

2
FC Thun
1
Draws
2
Grasshoppers
Avg goals: 3.4BTTS: 80%
5–13–11–10–21–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Thun
LDWDL
Grasshoppers
LLWWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FC Thun host Grasshoppers

September 12, 2026: FC Thun take on Grasshoppers in Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

FC Thun host Grasshoppers at Stockhorn Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.