Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

FC Thun vs BSC Young Boys — Super League 2018

FC Thun
FC Thun
Preview
18:30
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
8/1/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 2Stockhorn Arena
Big match
40%
BSC Young Boys
model favours
37%23%40%

Both teams score in 100% of FC Thun’s matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
63%
over 2.5 goals
64%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

FC Thun37%
×Draw23%
BSC Young Boys40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Thun
1.58
BSC Young Boys
1.65

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 58 home / 147 away

creates per match

FC Thun
1.79
BSC Young Boys
1.73

allows per match

FC Thun
1.57
BSC Young Boys
1.38

finishing

FC Thun+0.00on par
BSC Young Boys+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Thun ↓

BSC Young Boys →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

FC Thun or draw
60%
FC Thun or BSC Young Boys
77%
Draw or BSC Young Boys
63%

Winning margin

FC Thun wins by 2+
18%
BSC Young Boys wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

FC Thun 1+ goals
79%
FC Thun 2+ goals
47%
FC Thun 3+ goals
21%
BSC Young Boys 1+ goals
81%
BSC Young Boys 2+ goals
49%
BSC Young Boys 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

FC Thun (draw refunded)
48%
BSC Young Boys (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Thun at home — creates 1.79, concedes 1.57 · 58 matches

BSC Young Boys away — creates 1.73, concedes 1.38 · 147 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Thun attack 1.79 + BSC Young Boys defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.58

BSC Young Boys attack 1.73 + FC Thun defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

FC Thun scores more
37%
level
23%
BSC Young Boys scores more
40%

BSC Young Boys at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "BSC Young Boys will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FC Thun score first in only 30% of matches
  • BSC Young Boys score first in only 30% of matches
  • FC Thun raise their game against the top half — 44% wins vs the upper half, only 35% vs the lower
  • 65% of BSC Young Boys’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (60% and 65% over 2.5)
  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
FC Thun
Balanced
BSC Young Boys
Possession-dominant
50%Possession58%
69%Pass accuracyBiggest gap80%
16.6Shots15.3
1.66xG1.44
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
FC ThunBSC Young Boys

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

3
FC Thun
1
Draws
6
BSC Young Boys
Avg goals: 4.9BTTS: 70%
3–82–14–12–40–5

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Thun
LDWDL
Boys
WWDDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Thun face BSC Young Boys (Super League)

Super League returns with FC Thun hosting BSC Young Boys. Match starts August 1, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

FC Thun host BSC Young Boys at Stockhorn Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.