Scoreo

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 18+ matches

FC 35%Draw 24%41% FSV
1.49Expected xG1.63

Over / Under 2.5

60%

Over

40%

Under

Both Score

62%

Yes

38%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

11%

1-2

9%

2-1

8%

xG Profile (18 home / 20 away matches)

FC St. Pauli

xG 1.04 · xGA 1.61

-0.1 vs xG

FSV Mainz 05

xG 1.64 · xGA 1.94

-0.04 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 2026

BundesligaBundesliga·2026📍Millerntor-Stadion
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
FT
12
HT: 02
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
A. Ceesay 87'
P. Mwene 40'
P. Tietz 6'
Date
May 3, 2026, 1:30 PM
Tournament
Bundesliga · Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32
Venue
Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

FC St. Pauli

Over / Under 2.5

62%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53662%
  • Under 2.52238%

Both teams scored

60%BTTS
  • Yes3560%
  • No2340%

FSV Mainz 05

Over / Under 2.5

50%over 2.5
  • Over 2.52650%
  • Under 2.52650%

Both teams scored

62%BTTS
  • Yes3262%
  • No2038%

Possession

52%FC

Shots

10FC

Pass accuracy

51%FC

Statistics

FCFSV
Overview
52%Possession48%
10Total Shots17
0.84Expected Goals (xG)2.54
7Corners7
10Fouls8
Shots
10Total Shots17
3On Target6
5Off Target4
2Blocked7
7Inside Box15
3Outside Box2
Passing
52%Possession48%
494Total Passes465
413Accurate Passes379
84%Pass Accuracy82%
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
-0.65Goals Prevented-0.65
Discipline
10Fouls8
3Yellow Cards1
1Offsides4

Match Recap: FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 beat FC St. Pauli 2-1 in Bundesliga on May 3, 2026.

Goals: P. Tietz (6'), P. Mwene (40'), A. Ceesay (87').

FC St. Pauli controlled possession (52%) and registered 10 shots to 17.

The match was played at Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg.