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FC Slutsk vs Volna — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Slutsk
FC Slutsk
FT
6 – 1
HT: 6 – 1
Volna
Volna
N. Melnikov 23'
N. Bylinkin 5'
2/7/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5Stadyen Haradski

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

FC Slutsk77%
×Draw13%
Volna10%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Slutsk
3.08
Volna
1.04

FC Slutsk creates 196% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 3 away

creates per match

FC Slutsk
2.50
Volna
1.33

allows per match

FC Slutsk
0.75
Volna
3.67

finishing

FC Slutsk+0.00on par
Volna+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Slutsk ↓

Volna →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–15%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–19%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–17%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 3–1 (9%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

FC Slutsk or draw
90%
FC Slutsk or Volna
87%
Draw or Volna
23%

Winning margin

FC Slutsk wins by 2+
58%
Volna wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

FC Slutsk 1+ goals
95%
FC Slutsk 2+ goals
81%
FC Slutsk 3+ goals
58%
Volna 1+ goals
65%
Volna 2+ goals
28%
Volna 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

FC Slutsk (draw refunded)
89%
Volna (draw refunded)
11%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Slutsk at home — creates 2.50, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

Volna away — creates 1.33, concedes 3.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Slutsk attack 2.50 + Volna defence 3.67 → ÷2 → 3.08

Volna attack 1.33 + FC Slutsk defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 77%?"

FC Slutsk scores more
77%
level
13%
Volna scores more
10%

FC Slutsk at 77% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 77% does not mean "FC Slutsk will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'
N. Bylinkin
23'
N. Melnikov

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FC Slutsk vs Volna

FC Slutsk beat Volna 6-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 7, 2024.

Goals: N. Bylinkin (5'), N. Melnikov (23').

The match was played at Stadyen Haradski in Slutsk.