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FC Sion vs Dynamo Kyiv — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Sion
FC Sion
CANC
16:30
Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
7/14/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stade Saint-Marc

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

FC Sion51%
×Draw20%
Dynamo Kyiv29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Sion
2.31
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70

FC Sion creates 36% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 14 away

creates per match

FC Sion
2.70
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00

allows per match

FC Sion
1.40
Dynamo Kyiv
1.93

finishing

FC Sion+0.00on par
Dynamo Kyiv+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Sion ↓

Dynamo Kyiv →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

FC Sion or draw
71%
FC Sion or Dynamo Kyiv
80%
Draw or Dynamo Kyiv
49%

Winning margin

FC Sion wins by 2+
31%
Dynamo Kyiv wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

FC Sion 1+ goals
90%
FC Sion 2+ goals
67%
FC Sion 3+ goals
40%
Dynamo Kyiv 1+ goals
82%
Dynamo Kyiv 2+ goals
51%
Dynamo Kyiv 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

FC Sion (draw refunded)
64%
Dynamo Kyiv (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Sion at home — creates 2.70, concedes 1.40 · 10 matches

Dynamo Kyiv away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.93 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Sion attack 2.70 + Dynamo Kyiv defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 2.31

Dynamo Kyiv attack 2.00 + FC Sion defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

FC Sion scores more
51%
level
20%
Dynamo Kyiv scores more
29%

FC Sion at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "FC Sion will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FC Sion host Dynamo Kyiv

July 14, 2021: FC Sion take on Dynamo Kyiv in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

FC Sion host Dynamo Kyiv at Stade Saint-Marc.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.