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FC Schalke 04 vs FC Wurzburger Kickers — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04
CANC
16:00
FC Wurzburger Kickers
FC Wurzburger Kickers
8/24/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

FC Schalke 0463%
×Draw16%
FC Wurzburger Kickers21%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Schalke 04
3.34
FC Wurzburger Kickers
1.96

FC Schalke 04 creates 70% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 10 away

creates per match

FC Schalke 04
4.38
FC Wurzburger Kickers
2.30

allows per match

FC Schalke 04
1.63
FC Wurzburger Kickers
2.30

finishing

FC Schalke 04+0.00on par
FC Wurzburger Kickers+0.00on par

Total goals

89%Over
  • Over89
  • Under11

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

83%Yes
  • Yes83
  • No17

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Schalke 04 ↓

FC Wurzburger Kickers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–02%
1–13%
1–23%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–25%
4–33%
4–42%

Most likely 2–1 (6%) · grid covers 76% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
97%3%2.5
89%11%3.5
76%24%4.5
59%41%

Double chance

FC Schalke 04 or draw
79%
FC Schalke 04 or FC Wurzburger Kickers
84%
Draw or FC Wurzburger Kickers
37%

Winning margin

FC Schalke 04 wins by 2+
44%
FC Wurzburger Kickers wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

FC Schalke 04 1+ goals
96%
FC Schalke 04 2+ goals
84%
FC Schalke 04 3+ goals
63%
FC Wurzburger Kickers 1+ goals
86%
FC Wurzburger Kickers 2+ goals
58%
FC Wurzburger Kickers 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

FC Schalke 04 (draw refunded)
75%
FC Wurzburger Kickers (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
79%
Both score & under 3
3%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Schalke 04 at home — creates 4.38, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

FC Wurzburger Kickers away — creates 2.30, concedes 2.30 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Schalke 04 attack 4.38 + FC Wurzburger Kickers defence 2.30 → ÷2 → 3.34

FC Wurzburger Kickers attack 2.30 + FC Schalke 04 defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

FC Schalke 04 scores more
63%
level
16%
FC Wurzburger Kickers scores more
21%

FC Schalke 04 at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "FC Schalke 04 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

FC Schalke 04 vs FC Wurzburger Kickers — Match Preview

FC Schalke 04 face FC Wurzburger Kickers on August 24, 2020 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.