FC Rangers 1–5 Feutcheu: Result & Stats | Elite Two

FC Rangers

FT

1 – 5

HT: 0 – 2

Feutcheu

Unknown 85'

Unknown 78', 62', 57', 41', 23'

11/19/2023

Elite Two · Round 6

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

FC Rangers31%

×Draw31%

Feutcheu39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FC RangersExpected goals in this matchFeutcheu

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.93

1.09

FC Rangers

0.93

Feutcheu

1.09

Feutcheu creates 17% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 18 away

0.86

creates per match

1.00

1.18

allows per match

1.00

creates per match

FC Rangers

0.86

Feutcheu

1.00

allows per match

FC Rangers

1.18

Feutcheu

1.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FC Rangers+0.00on par

Feutcheu+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No60
Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Rangers ↓

Feutcheu →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–114%

0–28%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–16%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

15%85%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

FC Rangers or draw

61%

FC Rangers or Feutcheu

69%

Draw or Feutcheu

69%

Winning margin

FC Rangers wins by 2+

11%

Feutcheu wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

FC Rangers 1+ goals

61%

FC Rangers 2+ goals

24%

FC Rangers 3+ goals

7%

Feutcheu 1+ goals

66%

Feutcheu 2+ goals

30%

Feutcheu 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

FC Rangers (draw refunded)

44%

Feutcheu (draw refunded)

56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

27%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Rangers at home — creates 0.86, concedes 1.18 · 22 matches

Feutcheu away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.00 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Rangers attack 0.86 + Feutcheu defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.93

Feutcheu attack 1.00 + FC Rangers defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

FC Rangers scores more

31%

level

31%

Feutcheu scores more

39%

Feutcheu at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Feutcheu will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'

41'

57'

62'

78'

85'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff