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FC Politehnica Timisoara vs Șoimii Lipova — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Politehnica Timisoara
FC Politehnica Timisoara
FT
2 – 0
Șoimii Lipova
Șoimii Lipova
3/4/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

FC Politehnica Timisoara82%
×Draw14%
Șoimii Lipova4%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.38
Șoimii Lipova
0.38

FC Politehnica Timisoara creates 526% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 3 away

creates per match

FC Politehnica Timisoara
1.75
Șoimii Lipova
0.00

allows per match

FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.75
Șoimii Lipova
3.00

finishing

FC Politehnica Timisoara+0.00on par
Șoimii Lipova+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

71%No
  • No71
  • Yes29

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Politehnica Timisoara ↓

Șoimii Lipova →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–12%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–16%
1–21%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–018%
2–17%
2–21%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–014%
3–15%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–09%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (18%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

FC Politehnica Timisoara or draw
96%
FC Politehnica Timisoara or Șoimii Lipova
86%
Draw or Șoimii Lipova
18%

Winning margin

FC Politehnica Timisoara wins by 2+
59%
Șoimii Lipova wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

FC Politehnica Timisoara 1+ goals
91%
FC Politehnica Timisoara 2+ goals
68%
FC Politehnica Timisoara 3+ goals
42%
Șoimii Lipova 1+ goals
32%
Șoimii Lipova 2+ goals
6%
Șoimii Lipova 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

FC Politehnica Timisoara (draw refunded)
95%
Șoimii Lipova (draw refunded)
5%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
23%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Politehnica Timisoara at home — creates 1.75, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

Șoimii Lipova away — creates 0.00, concedes 3.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Politehnica Timisoara attack 1.75 + Șoimii Lipova defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.38

Șoimii Lipova attack 0.00 + FC Politehnica Timisoara defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 82%?"

FC Politehnica Timisoara scores more
82%
level
14%
Șoimii Lipova scores more
4%

FC Politehnica Timisoara at 82% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 82% does not mean "FC Politehnica Timisoara will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: FC Politehnica Timisoara vs Șoimii Lipova

FC Politehnica Timisoara beat Șoimii Lipova 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on March 4, 2021.