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FC Liefering vs SV Wehen — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Liefering
FC Liefering
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
SV Wehen
SV Wehen
Unknown 16'
7/18/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

FC Liefering59%
×Draw21%
SV Wehen20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Liefering
2.04
SV Wehen
1.09

FC Liefering creates 87% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 8 away

creates per match

FC Liefering
2.21
SV Wehen
1.25

allows per match

FC Liefering
0.93
SV Wehen
1.88

finishing

FC Liefering+0.00on par
SV Wehen+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Liefering ↓

SV Wehen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

FC Liefering or draw
80%
FC Liefering or SV Wehen
79%
Draw or SV Wehen
41%

Winning margin

FC Liefering wins by 2+
36%
SV Wehen wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

FC Liefering 1+ goals
87%
FC Liefering 2+ goals
60%
FC Liefering 3+ goals
33%
SV Wehen 1+ goals
66%
SV Wehen 2+ goals
30%
SV Wehen 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

FC Liefering (draw refunded)
75%
SV Wehen (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Liefering at home — creates 2.21, concedes 0.93 · 14 matches

SV Wehen away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.88 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Liefering attack 2.21 + SV Wehen defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 2.04

SV Wehen attack 1.25 + FC Liefering defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

FC Liefering scores more
59%
level
21%
SV Wehen scores more
20%

FC Liefering at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "FC Liefering will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

16'
FC
SV
Danny Galm
Manager: Danny Galm
Daniel Scherning
Manager: Daniel Scherning

Match Recap: FC Liefering vs SV Wehen

FC Liefering beat SV Wehen 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 18, 2026.

Goals: ? (16').