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FC Inter Wanica vs Inter Moengotapoe — Eerste Divisie 2019

FC Inter Wanica
FC Inter Wanica
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 1
Inter Moengotapoe
Inter Moengotapoe
3/28/2026Eerste DivisieEerste Divisie · Round 22

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 57+ matches

FC Inter Wanica18%
×Draw18%
Inter Moengotapoe64%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Inter Wanica
1.25
Inter Moengotapoe
2.51

Inter Moengotapoe creates 101% more chances

Season form · 57 home / 64 away

creates per match

FC Inter Wanica
1.19
Inter Moengotapoe
2.36

allows per match

FC Inter Wanica
2.67
Inter Moengotapoe
1.30

finishing

FC Inter Wanica+0.00on par
Inter Moengotapoe+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Inter Wanica ↓

Inter Moengotapoe →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–16%
0–27%
0–36%
0–44%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–29%
1–38%
1–45%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

FC Inter Wanica or draw
36%
FC Inter Wanica or Inter Moengotapoe
82%
Draw or Inter Moengotapoe
82%

Winning margin

FC Inter Wanica wins by 2+
7%
Inter Moengotapoe wins by 2+
43%

Team goals

FC Inter Wanica 1+ goals
71%
FC Inter Wanica 2+ goals
36%
FC Inter Wanica 3+ goals
13%
Inter Moengotapoe 1+ goals
92%
Inter Moengotapoe 2+ goals
71%
Inter Moengotapoe 3+ goals
45%

Draw no bet

FC Inter Wanica (draw refunded)
21%
Inter Moengotapoe (draw refunded)
79%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Inter Wanica at home — creates 1.19, concedes 2.67 · 57 matches

Inter Moengotapoe away — creates 2.36, concedes 1.30 · 64 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Inter Wanica attack 1.19 + Inter Moengotapoe defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.25

Inter Moengotapoe attack 2.36 + FC Inter Wanica defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.51

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

FC Inter Wanica scores more
18%
level
18%
Inter Moengotapoe scores more
64%

Inter Moengotapoe at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Inter Moengotapoe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Eerste Divisie: FC Inter Wanica 0–4 Inter Moengotapoe

Inter Moengotapoe beat FC Inter Wanica 4-0 in Eerste Divisie on March 28, 2026.