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FC Inter Wanica vs Broki — Eerste Divisie 2019

FC Inter Wanica
FC Inter Wanica
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Broki
Broki
1/10/2026Eerste DivisieEerste Divisie · Round 11

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 57+ matches

FC Inter Wanica29%
×Draw21%
Broki50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Inter Wanica
1.58
Broki
2.10

Broki creates 33% more chances

Season form · 57 home / 59 away

creates per match

FC Inter Wanica
1.19
Broki
1.53

allows per match

FC Inter Wanica
2.67
Broki
1.97

finishing

FC Inter Wanica+0.00on par
Broki+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Inter Wanica ↓

Broki →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

FC Inter Wanica or draw
50%
FC Inter Wanica or Broki
79%
Draw or Broki
71%

Winning margin

FC Inter Wanica wins by 2+
14%
Broki wins by 2+
29%

Team goals

FC Inter Wanica 1+ goals
79%
FC Inter Wanica 2+ goals
47%
FC Inter Wanica 3+ goals
21%
Broki 1+ goals
88%
Broki 2+ goals
62%
Broki 3+ goals
35%

Draw no bet

FC Inter Wanica (draw refunded)
37%
Broki (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Inter Wanica at home — creates 1.19, concedes 2.67 · 57 matches

Broki away — creates 1.53, concedes 1.97 · 59 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Inter Wanica attack 1.19 + Broki defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.58

Broki attack 1.53 + FC Inter Wanica defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

FC Inter Wanica scores more
29%
level
21%
Broki scores more
50%

Broki at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Broki will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Eerste Divisie: FC Inter Wanica 0–1 Broki

Broki beat FC Inter Wanica 1-0 in Eerste Divisie on January 10, 2026.