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FC Gutersloh vs SSV Jeddeloh — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Gutersloh
FC Gutersloh
FT
2 – 3
HT: 2 – 1
SSV Jeddeloh
SSV Jeddeloh
I. Touray 24' (OG)
P. Twardzik 17'
F. Cramer 90'
D. Ndure 84'
I. Touray 45'
1/17/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

FC Gutersloh29%
×Draw19%
SSV Jeddeloh52%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Gutersloh
1.88
SSV Jeddeloh
2.52

SSV Jeddeloh creates 34% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 10 away

creates per match

FC Gutersloh
1.46
SSV Jeddeloh
2.90

allows per match

FC Gutersloh
2.15
SSV Jeddeloh
2.30

finishing

FC Gutersloh+0.00on par
SSV Jeddeloh+0.00on par

Total goals

81%Over
  • Over81
  • Under19

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Gutersloh ↓

SSV Jeddeloh →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–24%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–02%
1–16%
1–27%
1–36%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–16%
2–27%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–24%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
81%19%3.5
63%37%4.5
44%56%

Double chance

FC Gutersloh or draw
48%
FC Gutersloh or SSV Jeddeloh
81%
Draw or SSV Jeddeloh
71%

Winning margin

FC Gutersloh wins by 2+
15%
SSV Jeddeloh wins by 2+
32%

Team goals

FC Gutersloh 1+ goals
85%
FC Gutersloh 2+ goals
56%
FC Gutersloh 3+ goals
29%
SSV Jeddeloh 1+ goals
92%
SSV Jeddeloh 2+ goals
71%
SSV Jeddeloh 3+ goals
45%

Draw no bet

FC Gutersloh (draw refunded)
36%
SSV Jeddeloh (draw refunded)
64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
72%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Gutersloh at home — creates 1.46, concedes 2.15 · 13 matches

SSV Jeddeloh away — creates 2.90, concedes 2.30 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Gutersloh attack 1.46 + SSV Jeddeloh defence 2.30 → ÷2 → 1.88

SSV Jeddeloh attack 2.90 + FC Gutersloh defence 2.15 → ÷2 → 2.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

FC Gutersloh scores more
29%
level
19%
SSV Jeddeloh scores more
52%

SSV Jeddeloh at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "SSV Jeddeloh will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

17'
P. Twardzik
24'
I. TourayOwn goal
45'
I. Touray
84'
D. Ndure
90'
F. Cramer
FC
SSV
Julian Hesse
Manager: Julian Hesse
B. Lindemann
Manager: B. Lindemann

Match Recap: FC Gutersloh vs SSV Jeddeloh

SSV Jeddeloh beat FC Gutersloh 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 17, 2026.

Goals: P. Twardzik (17'), I. Touray (24' o.g., 45'), D. Ndure (84'), F. Cramer (90').