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FC Gutersloh vs Havelse — Friendlies Clubs 2026

FC Gutersloh
FC Gutersloh
CANC
12:00
Havelse
Havelse
7/25/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

FC Gutersloh28%
×Draw19%
Havelse53%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Gutersloh
1.89
Havelse
2.58

Havelse creates 37% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 13 away

creates per match

FC Gutersloh
1.46
Havelse
3.00

allows per match

FC Gutersloh
2.15
Havelse
2.31

finishing

FC Gutersloh+0.00on par
Havelse+0.00on par

Total goals

82%Over
  • Over82
  • Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Gutersloh ↓

Havelse →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–24%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–02%
1–16%
1–27%
1–36%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–27%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–24%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
82%18%3.5
65%35%4.5
45%55%

Double chance

FC Gutersloh or draw
47%
FC Gutersloh or Havelse
81%
Draw or Havelse
72%

Winning margin

FC Gutersloh wins by 2+
14%
Havelse wins by 2+
33%

Team goals

FC Gutersloh 1+ goals
85%
FC Gutersloh 2+ goals
56%
FC Gutersloh 3+ goals
29%
Havelse 1+ goals
92%
Havelse 2+ goals
72%
Havelse 3+ goals
47%

Draw no bet

FC Gutersloh (draw refunded)
35%
Havelse (draw refunded)
65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
73%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Gutersloh at home — creates 1.46, concedes 2.15 · 13 matches

Havelse away — creates 3.00, concedes 2.31 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Gutersloh attack 1.46 + Havelse defence 2.31 → ÷2 → 1.89

Havelse attack 3.00 + FC Gutersloh defence 2.15 → ÷2 → 2.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

FC Gutersloh scores more
28%
level
19%
Havelse scores more
53%

Havelse at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Havelse will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: FC Gutersloh host Havelse

July 25, 2026: FC Gutersloh take on Havelse in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.