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Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

FC 41%Draw 27%32% Toronto
1.32Expected xG1.13

Over / Under 2.5

44%

Over

56%

Under

Both Score

50%

Yes

50%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

13%

1-0

11%

0-1

10%

xG Profile (8 home / 7 away matches)

FC Dallas

xG 1.54 · xGA 1.25

+0.84 vs xG

Toronto FC

xG 1 · xGA 1.1

+0.14 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

FC Dallas vs Toronto FC — Major League Soccer 2026

Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer·2026📍Toyota Stadium
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
FT
3 – 2
HT: 2 – 1
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
P. Musa 74', 9'
L. Farrington 38'
D. Etienne 67'
D. Mihailovic 15'
Date
Feb 22, 2026, 1:30 AM
Tournament
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 1
Referee
T. Ford
Venue
Toyota Stadium, Frisco

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

FC Dallas

Over / Under 2.5

66%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51966%
  • Under 2.51034%

Both teams scored

69%BTTS
  • Yes2069%
  • No931%

Toronto FC

Over / Under 2.5

48%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51348%
  • Under 2.51452%

Both teams scored

81%BTTS
  • Yes2281%
  • No519%

Player of the match

9
P. MusaFC DallasFC Dallas · F
8.5

Match Events

9'
P. Musa↳ O. Urhoghide
15'
D. Mihailovic↳ J. Osorio
21'
Malik Henry
38'
L. Farrington
45+4'
Petar Musa
54'
R. Edwards← A. Coello
54'
D. Salloi← M. Henry
67'
D. Etienne
72'
P. Delgado← Kaick
72'
L. Deedson← H. Johansson
74'
P. Musa↳ L. Farrington
77'
H. Wingo← D. Etienne
77'
E. Aristizabal← K. Franklin
82'
A. A. Julio Santos← L. Farrington
90+4'
Raheem Edwards
90+2'
R. Binyamin← C. Cappis

Possession

45%FC

Shots

13FC

Pass accuracy

49%FC

Statistics

FCToronto
Overview
45%Possession55%
13Total Shots12
1.61Expected Goals (xG)0.99
3Corners7
18Fouls11
Shots
13Total Shots12
3On Target5
4Off Target4
6Blocked3
7Inside Box5
6Outside Box7
Passing
45%Possession55%
401Total Passes497
317Accurate Passes409
79%Pass Accuracy82%
Goalkeeping
3Saves0
-1.24Goals Prevented-1.24
Discipline
18Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
1Offsides1

FC Dallas 3 – 2 Toronto FC

FC Dallas beat Toronto FC 3-2 in Major League Soccer on February 22, 2026.

Goals: P. Musa (9', 74'), D. Mihailovic (15'), L. Farrington (38'), D. Etienne (67').

Toronto FC controlled possession (55%) and registered 12 shots to 13.

The match was played at Toyota Stadium in Frisco.