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FC Copenhagen vs Viborg — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs·2026
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Viborg
Viborg
T. Delaney 64'
M. Elyounoussi 45+5'
O. Bundgaard 9'
Date
Jul 16, 2026, 12:00 PM
Tournament
Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

FC Copenhagen62%
×Draw18%
Viborg20%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FC Copenhagen
2.67
Viborg
1.50

FC Copenhagen creates 78% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

FC Copenhagen
3.33
Viborg
1.00

allows per match

FC Copenhagen
2.00
Viborg
2.00

finishing

FC Copenhagen+0.00on par
Viborg+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FC Copenhagen ↓

Viborg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–16%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–18%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

FC Copenhagen or draw
80%
FC Copenhagen or Viborg
82%
Draw or Viborg
38%

Winning margin

FC Copenhagen wins by 2+
41%
Viborg wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

FC Copenhagen 1+ goals
93%
FC Copenhagen 2+ goals
74%
FC Copenhagen 3+ goals
49%
Viborg 1+ goals
78%
Viborg 2+ goals
44%
Viborg 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

FC Copenhagen (draw refunded)
75%
Viborg (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FC Copenhagen at home — creates 3.33, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

Viborg away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FC Copenhagen attack 3.33 + Viborg defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.67

Viborg attack 1.00 + FC Copenhagen defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

FC Copenhagen scores more
62%
level
18%
Viborg scores more
20%

FC Copenhagen at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "FC Copenhagen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'
G. Vianney Ndjee← A. Cornelius
9'
O. Bundgaard
32'
F. Beijmo
40'
Missed penalty
45+5'
M. Elyounoussi
60'
Gabriel Pereira← M. Garananga
60'
B. Meling← M. Nyassi
60'
T. Delaney← M. Madsen
64'
T. Delaney
71'
M. Nasnas← W. Clem
71'
E. Achouri← Robert
88'
89'
K. Myrie← M. Lopez
89'
H. Haraldsen← F. Beijmo
89'
J. Moalem← Y. Moukoko
89'
L. West← M. Elyounoussi

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: FC Copenhagen 2–1 Viborg

FC Copenhagen beat Viborg 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 16, 2026.

Goals: O. Bundgaard (9'), M. Elyounoussi (45+5'), T. Delaney (64').